Research

volarixs - applied AI & ML to finance

Explore our latest posts on machine learning, market dynamics, strategy architecture and design

Feature Engineering
Feb 10, 2026

Shrinking the Feature Space: PCA & Autoencoders

Many features are redundant or noisy. High dimensionality = harder to generalize.

PCA
Autoencoders
Features
9 min read
Strategy
Feb 1, 2026

How Asset Managers Can Implement AI & Machine Learning

Part 2: Infrastructure, Governance & Roadmap. What it takes to implement AI in asset management.

AI Implementation
Governance
Roadmap
18 min read
Deep Learning
Jan 28, 2026

Neural Networks for Market Data: MLPs, CNNs & LSTMs

We are selective with deep learning. Expensive to train, easy to overfit, harder to debug.

Neural Networks
MLP
LSTM
12 min read
Research
Jan 22, 2026

Signal Half-Life and Decay: How Long Do ML Edges Really Last?

If you discover a signal today, how long will it work?

Signal Decay
Half-Life
Edge Persistence
13 min read
Strategy
Jan 15, 2026

How Asset Managers Can Use AI & Machine Learning in Investment Decisions

Part 1: Use Cases & Value. Real-world use cases: idea generation, regime analysis, risk management.

Asset Management
AI & ML
Use Cases
15 min read
Volatility
Jan 5, 2026

Modeling Market Turbulence: GARCH, EGARCH & HAR

Volatility ≠ returns: heavy tails, clustering, mean reversion. Dedicated volatility models are essential.

GARCH
EGARCH
HAR
10 min read
Time Series
Dec 18, 2025

ARIMA, SARIMAX & VAR: When Classical Time-Series Still Win

Explicitly model temporal dependence with transparent structure.

ARIMA
SARIMAX
VAR
9 min read
Benchmarks
Dec 9, 2025

Volatility Forecasting Benchmarks: GARCH, HAR, and ML

Compare GARCH, HAR, and ML models for volatility forecasting.

Volatility
GARCH
HAR
11 min read
Machine Learning
Dec 2, 2025

How Market Regimes Break ML Models

Financial machine learning rarely fails because the model is 'bad'. It fails because the market regime changed.

Regimes
ML
Backtesting
8 min read
Models
Nov 25, 2025

Boosted Trees for Alpha: XGBoost & LightGBM

Gradient boosting dominates tabular ML. Learn how XGBoost and LightGBM deliver strong performance.

XGBoost
LightGBM
Boosting
11 min read
Features
Nov 18, 2025

The 19 Most Important Features for Equity Return Forecasting

Most ML performance in finance doesn't come from the model — it comes from the features.

Features
Alpha
Equities
12 min read
Methodology
Nov 7, 2025

Rolling Windows for Financial ML: A Complete Guide

If you use financial data and your model does not use a rolling window, the backtest is wrong.

Rolling Windows
Time Series
Backtesting
10 min read
Evaluation
Oct 27, 2025

Beyond Sharpe: A Research Framework for Evaluating ML Trading Strategies

Sharpe ratio is dangerously incomplete for ML strategies.

Evaluation
Metrics
Sharpe
15 min read
Models
Oct 8, 2025

Random Forests in Finance: Nonlinear Signals Without the Drama

Tree-based ensembles capture nonlinearities and interactions in market data.

Random Forest
Extra Trees
Trees
10 min read
Models
Sep 15, 2025

From Linear Regression to Lasso: Fast, Interpretable Baselines

Linear and regularized regressions still do serious work in finance.

Linear Regression
Ridge
Lasso
12 min read
Regimes
Aug 22, 2025

Market Regimes, Clusters & HMMs: Teaching Models to Respect the Environment

Episodes where statistical properties are stable enough: high vol vs low vol, risk-on vs risk-off.

K-Means
GMM
HMM
11 min read
Architecture
Aug 3, 2025

Building a Universe-Wide Prediction Grid

An alpha factory needs predictions for every asset at multiple horizons from multiple models.

Prediction Grid
Scaling
Alpha Factory
14 min read
Evaluation
Jun 18, 2025

Regime-Conditioned Performance: Measuring ML Robustness

Most backtests report a single Sharpe. But ML models fail by regime.

Regimes
Robustness
Performance
12 min read
Implementation
February 1, 2026
18 min read

How Asset Managers Can Implement AI & Machine Learning

Part 2: Infrastructure, Governance & Roadmap. Focused on what it takes to implement AI: data readiness, model infrastructure, governance, and a realistic 0–24 month roadmap.

Introduction: From "Interesting" to "Implemented"

In Part 1, we looked at where AI and ML can add value in an asset manager's investment process.

This second part answers the harder question: What does it actually take to implement AI in an asset-management firm — realistically, within 24 months?

We'll cover: what foundations you need (data, infrastructure, people), governance and explainability requirements, a phased adoption roadmap, common failure modes, and where a platform like volarixs fits.

ML Maturity Self-Assessment

Assess your organization's ML readiness

Maturity Score0%

Level: Early Stage

1. Foundations: What You Actually Need Before Doing AI

1.1. Data Readiness

The absolute minimum viable data stack:

  • Market data: clean OHLCV for your main universes, properly adjusted for splits/dividends
  • Reference data: stable identifiers, sectors, regions, index memberships
  • Fundamental data: key accounting/valuation metrics over time
  • Portfolio & benchmark history: holdings, trades, and benchmark weights

Key principles:

  • Prefer centralized, versioned storage (e.g. S3 + a metadata catalog) to ad-hoc Excel files
  • Treat corporate actions, survivership bias, and missing data as first-class problems, not afterthoughts

1.2. Model & Experiment Infrastructure

Even for conservative goals, you need more than a couple of notebooks.

Core elements:

  • Experiment tracking: every run stores input data set, model type and configuration, train/validation/test windows, metrics and results
  • Backtesting engine: consistent framework to turn predictions into positions, account for transaction costs, and compute performance metrics
  • Reproducibility & audit trails: ability to re-run a model from its configuration and data snapshot, clear model versioning and code/data lineage

This is essentially what volarixs provides out-of-the-box: self-serve ML on time series with experiment tracking and regime-aware evaluation.

1.3. People & Roles

You don't need an army; you do need clarity:

  • Quantitative researchers / data scientists: Design models, validate results, iterate quickly
  • Portfolio managers & analysts: Provide domain knowledge; decide which signals are investable
  • IT / data engineering: Ensure data pipelines and infrastructure are stable and secure
  • Risk / compliance: Help define acceptable use of AI in decision-making

On small or mid-sized platforms, one person often wears multiple hats—but the responsibilities still need to be explicit.

2. Governance, Explainability & Model Boundaries

2.1. Clear Boundaries: What the Model Is Allowed to Do

You should be able to answer, in one sentence: "What is the mandate of this model?"

Examples:

  • "This model provides a ranking of stocks within each sector; PMs use it as a second opinion, not as an automatic trade list."
  • "This regime model determines whether the portfolio is in 'normal' or 'stress' mode and adjusts risk budgets accordingly."

Document:

  • Which products or portfolios the model can influence
  • Maximum portion of tracking error or risk budget it can drive
  • Whether it can suggest or decide

2.2. Validation & Monitoring

Model governance should look more like a credit approval process than a tech toy.

Typical checklist:

  • Has the model been tested out-of-sample on a sufficiently long history?
  • Are the results robust across regimes or concentrated in a narrow environment?
  • How do results change under alternative feature sets, hyperparameters, or train/test splits?
  • Are turnover and transaction costs properly accounted for?
  • Is performance monitored over time with drift detection and alerts for breakdowns?

Governance Checklist Builder

Build a custom governance checklist for your models

2.3. Explainability & Communication

Explainability doesn't mean simple models only. It means you can explain the model's behaviour at the right level:

  • For IC / boards: "The model is essentially rewarding companies with A, B, C characteristics in this regime, and penalizing X, Y, Z."
  • For clients: "Our use of AI is limited to ranking opportunities and understanding regimes; we do not run fully automated trading."

Tools that help: Feature importance & SHAP values for tree/boosted models, regime labels and transition matrices for HMM-based regime models, and strategy-level summaries. volarixs integrates these directly into the results layer.

3. A Realistic Adoption Roadmap (0–24 Months)

Avoid "AI big bang." Think phased deployment.

Adoption Roadmap Timeline

Phased approach to AI implementation

4. Common Pitfalls & How to Avoid Them

Pitfall 1 – Over-Promising

Better narrative: "We expect AI to improve the consistency of our decisions, sharpen risk management, and gradually add 50–100 bps of value where conditions allow."

Pitfall 2 – Stuck in Notebook Land

If everything lives in ad-hoc notebooks: no reproducibility, no governance, no trust. Solution: Use a platform or framework that enforces experiment tracking, standard metrics, and run history. This is precisely the point of something like volarixs.

Pitfall 3 – Ignoring Turnover & Costs

A model that trades too much is functionally useless in most asset-management contexts. Every backtest should include turnover and transaction-cost estimates, implementation shortfall metrics, and penalties for excessive trading.

Pitfall 4 – Pushing Black-Box Models Too Early

Even if a deep model performs well technically, it may be unacceptable politically. Safer progression: Start with interpretable models (linear, trees, boosted trees with explainability), build governance and comfort around them, then introduce more complex models only where data volume justifies it and you can still derive understandable summaries.

Impact vs Effort Matrix

Prioritize AI initiatives by impact and effort

Regime detection
High Impact
Low Effort
Stock ranking
High Impact
Medium Effort
Volatility forecasting
Medium Impact
Low Effort
Factor analysis
Medium Impact
Medium Effort

5. Where volarixs Fits in This Picture

volarixs is designed as a self-serve ML platform for financial time series, tailored to asset managers, quants and financial data scientists.

For implementation, it provides:

  • Data integration: time-series focus (equities first, multi-asset over time) with OHLCV and custom data ingestion
  • Model library: curated templates (linear, trees, boosted, vol models, regimes) with consistent configuration
  • Backtesting & evaluation: standardized ML + financial metrics, including regime-aware diagnostics
  • Factory mode: universe-wide predictions, not just single-experiment notebooks
  • Governance hooks: experiment tracking, run metadata, and audit trails designed to feed your model governance process

In practice, this means you can move from ad-hoc experimentation to an institutional-grade ML factory much faster than building everything in-house.

IC Slide Text Generator

Ready-to-use text for investment committee presentations

Purpose: AI/ML enhances our investment process by providing systematic second opinions and regime-aware risk management. We use AI to rank opportunities and understand market environments, not to replace human judgment.

Asset Management
AI Implementation
Governance

Ready to start your AI journey?

Read Part 1: Use Cases & Value